Markets/Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
WorldManifold (M$)

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Comparing 1 sources · Updated every 60s

Best Yes

95%

Manifold

Best No

5%

Manifold

Cross-Source Spread

Source Count

1

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Price Comparison

SourceYesNoChangeVolume 24hTotal VolumeOpen InterestLiquidity
Manifold95%5%M$ 2.1KM$ 9.4M10.0KHigh
ManifoldForecast

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Yes
95%
No
5%
24h: 2.1KVol: 9.4MOI: 10.0KForecasters: 959Closes: Jul 19, 2028