Markets/Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?
Science and TechnologyManifold (M$)

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

Comparing 1 sources · Updated every 60s

Best Yes

66%

Manifold

Best No

34%

Manifold

Cross-Source Spread

Source Count

1

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Price Comparison

SourceYesNoChangeVolume 24hTotal VolumeOpen InterestLiquidity
Manifold66%34%M$ 278.5K5.0KLow
ManifoldForecast

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

Yes
66%
No
34%
Vol: 278.5KOI: 5.0KForecasters: 281Closes: Jan 2, 2028