Markets/Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?
Science and TechnologyManifold (M$)

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

Comparing 1 sources · Updated every 60s

Best Yes

53%

Manifold

Best No

47%

Manifold

Cross-Source Spread

Source Count

1

ConnectingWaiting for data...

Price Comparison

SourceYesNoChangeVolume 24hTotal VolumeOpen InterestLiquidity
Manifold53%47%M$ 259M$ 437.6K5.0KHigh
ManifoldForecast

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

Yes
53%
No
47%
24h: 259Vol: 437.6KOI: 5.0KForecasters: 260Closes: Mar 18, 2030