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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 54% on Polymarket, and the best No is 50% on PredictIt. Prices currently differ by 4¢ across exchanges, the largest spread between any two listed sources. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 7.8K contracts.
Best Yes
54%
Polymarket
Best No
50%
PredictIt
Cross-Source Spread
4¢
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 54% ★ | 47% | — | 7.8K | 13.6K | 7.2K | High |
| PredictIt | 50% | 50% ★ | — | — | — | — | Low |
Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?
Will an individual win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize? — Will an individual win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Polymarket — Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?
The Nobel Peace Prize is awarded annually by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is scheduled to be announced on October 9, 2026, at 11:00 AM CEST (5:00 AM ET). This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one named individual is a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A named individual is a person identified by name as a laureate in the Norwegian Nobel Committee's announcement. An organization, institution, movement, agency, coalition, or other entity is not a named individual. The prize may be divided among up to three laureates. If it is divided between at least one named individual and one or more entities, this market will resolve to "Yes". A person named as a laureate alongside an organization they lead counts as a named individual, as Kofi Annan did when the 2001 prize was divided between the United Nations and its Secretary-General. A person who is not named as a laureate, and who only accepts or represents the prize on an organization's behalf, does not count. A laureate who declines the prize still counts, as Le Duc Tho did in 1973. A laureate honored posthumously still counts, as Dag Hammarskjold did in 1961. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is withheld, is not awarded, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.