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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Movsar Evloev wins is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Kalshi and Polymarket. The best Yes price right now is 50% on Kalshi, and the best No is 88% on Polymarket. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 55.3% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 200.6K contracts.
Best Yes
50%
Kalshi
Best No
88%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
38¢
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCombo | 50% ★ | 50% | — | 192.4K | 413.3K | 332.9K | High |
| PolymarketCombo | 12% | 88% ★ | -387d | 8.1K | 8.1K | 20.7K | Medium |
Movsar Evloev wins
Will Movsar Evloev win by KO or TKO?
Select markets above to estimate combo odds. Place your combo on Kalshi
Buy YES on
Polymarket
12¢
Buy NO on
Kalshi
50¢
Total Cost
62¢
Gross Profit
38¢
Est. Fees
3.74¢
Net Profit
34.26¢
Return
55.3%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | None | 7% | None | Trading exchange |
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
Kalshi — Movsar Evloev wins
If Movsar Evloev wins the Alex Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
Polymarket — Will Movsar Evloev win by KO or TKO?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Movsar Evloev defeats Alexander Volkanovski at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.