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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Kenneth Walker III: 1st Touchdown is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Kalshi and Polymarket. The best Yes price right now is 55% on Polymarket, and the best No is 84% on Kalshi. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 52.8% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 143.5K contracts.
Best Yes
55%
Polymarket
Best No
84%
Kalshi
Cross-Source Spread
39¢
Source Count
2
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCombo | 16% | 84% ★ | — | 134.0K | 166.9K | 165.5K | High |
| PolymarketCombo | 55% ★ | 45% | — | 9.4K | 9.4K | 38.8K | High |
Kenneth Walker III: 1st Touchdown
Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown
Select markets above to estimate combo odds. Place your combo on Kalshi
Buy YES on
Kalshi
16¢
Buy NO on
Polymarket
45¢
Total Cost
61¢
Gross Profit
39¢
Est. Fees
6.78¢
Net Profit
32.22¢
Return
52.8%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | None | 7% | None | Trading exchange |
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
Kalshi — Kenneth Walker III: 1st Touchdown
If Kenneth Walker III scores the first touchdown in Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to Kenneth Walker III in the Kansas City vs Seattle professional football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If Kenneth Walker III is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Kenneth Walker III takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on touchdowns scored. If no touchdowns are scored in the game, the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes and all other player markets resolve to No. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count as a special teams touchdown. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Polymarket — Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown
In the upcoming NFL football game between Chiefs and Seahawks, scheduled for October 25 at 8:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kenneth Walker scores 1 or more rushing or receiving touchdowns in this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.