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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Josh Allen: 1st Touchdown is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Kalshi and Polymarket. The best Yes price right now is 52% on Polymarket, and the best No is 85% on Kalshi. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 45.4% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 75.5K contracts.
Best Yes
52%
Polymarket
Best No
85%
Kalshi
Cross-Source Spread
37¢
Source Count
2
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCombo | 15% | 85% ★ | -1 | 63.4K | 68.3K | 68.1K | High |
| PolymarketCombo | 52% ★ | 49% | — | 12.1K | 12.1K | 12.3K | High |
Josh Allen: 1st Touchdown
Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown
Select markets above to estimate combo odds. Place your combo on Kalshi
Buy YES on
Kalshi
15¢
Buy NO on
Polymarket
49¢
Total Cost
64¢
Gross Profit
36¢
Est. Fees
6.93¢
Net Profit
29.07¢
Return
45.4%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | None | 7% | None | Trading exchange |
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
Kalshi — Josh Allen: 1st Touchdown
If Josh Allen scores the first touchdown in Buffalo vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to Josh Allen in the Buffalo vs Minnesota professional football game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026. If Josh Allen is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Josh Allen takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on touchdowns scored. If no touchdowns are scored in the game, the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes and all other player markets resolve to No. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count as a special teams touchdown. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Polymarket — Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown
In the upcoming NFL football game between Bills and Vikings, scheduled for November 9 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Josh Allen scores 1 or more rushing or receiving touchdowns in this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.