What are the current odds for "Jaylen Warren: 30+ rushing yards"?

The best Yes price is 86% on Kalshi and the best No price is 50% on Polymarket. Prices are compared across 2 prediction markets: Kalshi and Polymarket.

Which prediction market has the best price for "Jaylen Warren: 30+ rushing yards"?

Prices differ by 36¢ across exchanges. For a Yes position, Kalshi offers the highest probability at 86%. For a No position, Polymarket leads at 50%.

Is there an arbitrage opportunity on "Jaylen Warren: 30+ rushing yards"?

Yes. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently available with an estimated 45.3% net return after fees. This involves buying Yes on one exchange and No on another to lock in a guaranteed profit regardless of the outcome.

What fees do prediction markets charge for this market?

Kalshi charges 7% profit fee. Polymarket charges 2% trading fee. Fee structures vary significantly between exchanges and can affect the real cost of a position.

How much trading volume does "Jaylen Warren: 30+ rushing yards" have?

Combined 24-hour trading volume across all listed exchanges is 41.9K contracts, with 41.9K contracts traded all-time. Higher volume generally indicates better liquidity and tighter bid-ask spreads.

Markets/Sports/Jaylen Warren: 30+ rushing yards

SportsKalshiPolymarket36¢ spreadARB +45.3%Combo eligible

Jaylen Warren: 30+ rushing yards

Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s

Jaylen Warren: 30+ rushing yards is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Kalshi and Polymarket. The best Yes price right now is 86% on Kalshi, and the best No is 50% on Polymarket. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 45.3% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 41.9K contracts.

Best Yes

86%

Kalshi

Best No

50%

Polymarket

Cross-Source Spread

36¢

Source Count

ConnectingWaiting for data...

Price History (Cross-Source)

Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.

Your Prediction

What do you think?50%YES

Very unlikelyCoin flipVery likely

Market price: 86%You are 36pts less bullish

Price Comparison

Source	Yes	No	Change	Volume 24h	Total Volume	Open Interest	Liquidity
KalshiCombo	86% ★	14%	+86	27	27	27	Medium
PolymarketCombo	50%	50% ★	—	41.9K	41.9K	—	Medium

KalshiTradingBest Yes

Jaylen Warren: 30+ rushing yards

Jaylen Warren: 30+

86%

Jaylen Warren: 30+

14%

Yes Bid/Ask: 50¢ / 88¢

No Bid/Ask: 12¢ / 50¢

24h: 27Vol: 27OI: 27Closes: Sep 29, 2026

Trade on Kalshi →

PolymarketTradingBest No

Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5

Yes

50%

24h: 41.9KVol: 41.9KCloses: Sep 26, 2026

Trade on Polymarket →

COMBO

Build a Parlay

1 leg · Kalshi

Select markets above to estimate combo odds. Place your combo on Kalshi

Arbitrage Calculator

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Buy YES on

Polymarket

50¢

Buy NO on

Kalshi

14¢

Total Cost

64¢

Gross Profit

36¢

Est. Fees

7.02¢

Net Profit

28.98¢

Return

45.3%

Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.

Fee Reference

Exchange	Trading Fee	Profit Fee	Withdrawal Fee	Notes
Kalshi	None	7%	None	Trading exchange
Polymarket	2%	None	None	Trading exchange

Resolution Rules

Kalshi — Jaylen Warren: 30+ rushing yards

If Jaylen Warren records 30+ rushing yards in the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following market refers to Jaylen Warren in the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If Jaylen Warren is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Jaylen Warren takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on rushing yards recorded. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Polymarket — Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5

In the upcoming NFL football game between Bengals and Steelers, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Jaylen Warren records more than 29.5 rushing yards in this game, and to "Under" if Jaylen Warren records 29.5 or fewer rushing yards. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.