Markets/Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
SportsPolymarket

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Comparing 1 sources · Updated every 60s

Best Yes

5%

Polymarket

Best No

95%

Polymarket

Cross-Source Spread

Source Count

1

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Price Comparison

SourceYesNoChangeVolume 24hTotal VolumeOpen InterestLiquidity
Polymarket5%95%190.1K506.6K52.6KHigh
PolymarketTrading

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Yes
5%
No
95%
Yes Bid/Ask: 5¢ / 6¢
24h: 190.1KVol: 506.6KOI: 52.6KCloses: Mar 30, 2026

Fee Reference

ExchangeTrading FeeProfit FeeWithdrawal FeeNotes
Polymarket2%NoneNoneTrading exchange

Resolution Rules

PolymarketIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed. A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions. Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.