Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and Manifold. The best Yes price right now is 9% on Polymarket, and the best No is 96% on Manifold. Prices currently differ by 5¢ across exchanges, the largest spread between any two listed sources. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 2.3M contracts.
Best Yes
9%
Polymarket
Best No
96%
Manifold
Cross-Source Spread
5¢
Source Count
2
Price History (Cross-Source)
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 9% ★ | 91% | — | 2.1M | 2.9M | 1.3M | High |
| Manifold | 4% | 96% ★ | — | M$ 134.3K | M$ 162.0K | 10.6K | Medium |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| Manifold | N/A | Forecasting platform (no real-money trading) | ||
Resolution Rules
Polymarket — Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.