Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4?
Comparing 1 sources · Updated every 60s
Best Yes
97%
Polymarket
Best No
3%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
—
Source Count
1
Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 97% | 3% | — | 268.8K | 365.6K | 35.9K | High |
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4?
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
Resolution Rules
Polymarket — Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.